Financial devolution in Scotland: the journey so far

 

Scotland is on a complex and fast-paced journey of devolution. This brings new opportunities and risks for public finances and how they’re managed in a world of growing demand and challenges for public services.

As the independent public spending watchdog, Audit Scotland’s role is to help the Auditor General and the Accounts Commission ensure that public funds are well spent and provide value for money.

We are committed to supporting the Scottish Parliament and the public to understand how devolution is changing the landscape for public finances, and how well public bodies are taking on the significant responsibility of managing Scotland’s increasing financial powers. This page sets out our past and future work in this important area.

Financial powers timeline

 

Timeline for implementing financial powers

£2.8bn = 7% budget budget raised directly in Scotland

  • 2015 - Devolved taxes: Land and Buildings Transaction Tax and Scottish Landfill Tax. Borrowing and cash reserve powers
  • 2016 - Income tax: Scottish rate introduced
  • 2017 - Income tax: Control over rates and bands. Increased borrowing and reserve powers
  • 2018 - Social security: Devolved benefits start to be introduced
  • 2019 - £15.2bn = 36% budget raised directly in Scotland
  • 2020 - Social security: Responsibility for all 11 devolved benefits passes to Scottish Government
  • By 2025 - Social Security: All claims for devolved benefits transferred from DWP to Social Security Scotland
  • Date to be confirmed: VAT assignment, Air Departure Tax, Aggregates Levy; pound;21.3bn = 50% budget raised directly in Scotland

Key facts

key facts - budget, devolved taxes and social security spendingkey facts - Scottish income tax payers, outturn from Scottish income tax

Key facts

  • £705 million devolved taxes collected in 2017/18
  • £3.5 billion social security spending being devolved in Scotland
  • 1.4 million people to receive devolved social security payments
  • 2.5 million Scottish income tax payers
  • estimated £11 billion outturn from Scottish income tax in 2017/18

 


Exhibits

Our reports feature several exhibits that visualise complex data and processes in an accessible and informative way. See the examples below or click on our reports to find more.

First exhibit - Funding sources and spending

Second exhibit - How the funding for the Scottish Budget is determined. The Fiscal Framework sets out how the Scottish Budget is funded. As each of the new financial powers is implemented, a further adjustment is made to the block grant, known as a block grant adjustment (BGA). For more information please see part 1 of our briefing paper Scotland’s new financial powers: Operation of the Fiscal Framework.

Third exhibit - The relationship between Scottish and the rest of the UK performance on the budget. The Scottish budget is now more closely linked to Scotland’s economic performance relative to the rest of the UK. The Fiscal Framework is intended to incentivise the Scottish Government to increase economic growth. Where the Scottish economy is performing relatively well, tax revenues will be higher and pressures on spending will ease. Where it performs relatively less well the effect will be to squeeze the budget, reducing available funding and increasing spending demands. For more information please see part 3 of our briefing paper Scotland’s new financial powers: Operation of the Fiscal Framework.

Fourth exhibit - Scenarios of possible changes to the Scottish Budget from tax policy. The way that block grant adjustments for both taxes and social security operate means that different tax and spending policy choices in Scotland compared to the rest of the UK directly affect the Scottish budget. Maintaining the status quo between Scotland and the rest of the UK through the Fiscal Framework now means matching UK tax and social security policy. Policy divergence will occur where either the UK Government or the Scottish Government choose a different tax policy.For more information please see part 3 of our briefing paper Scotland’s new financial powers: Operation of the Fiscal Framework.

Fifth exhibit - Timeline of social security powers being devolved through the Scotland Act 2016


Reports


 


Reporting on withdrawal from the European Union

Facts from the paper

Around 235,000 non-UK EU nationals were living in Scotland - 4% of the population - in 2017.

Estimated 150,000 non-UK EU nationals were employed in Scotland - 6% of the workforce - in 2017. Around 20,000 of these people are estimated to be employed in the public sector in Scotland - 3% of all public sector employees - in 2017.

The Scottish Government estimates that non-UK EU nationals working in Scotland contribute around £4.4billion to Scottish GDP per year.

We have produced a paper which looks at key audit issues for the Scottish public sector.

The UK’s decision to leave the EU represents a major constitutional change for Scotland and will affect everyone in Scotland to some degree. EU withdrawal comes at the same time as a significant expansion of the Scottish Parliament's financial powers and continued pressure on public sector budgets.

The paper presents what we think might be key issues for the bodies we audit, suggests questions which all public bodies should be asking themselves, and sets out our current plans for reflecting EU withdrawal in our audit work.

  Download the EU withdrawal paper - PDF 127Kb

 


Annual reporting on financial devolution

Annual reporting on new financial powers

How we report:

  • Performance audit reports/briefing papers
  • Scottish Government annual audit report
  • Section 22 report on Scottish Government consolidated accounts
  • Scottish Consolidated Fund annual audit report
  • Revenue Scotland annual audit report
  • Auditor General report on National Audit Office audit of Scottish Rate of Income Tax

 

Our work on financial devolution in Scotland is reported in a number of ways, including performance audits, our annual audits of the key bodies involved, and assurance reports on work by the National Audit Office (NAO) to examine arrangements for the Scottish Rate of Income Tax.

The Auditor General for Scotland may also prepare a Section 22 report for the Parliament if specific concerns or issues are identified in annual audits.

 


Other resources

Scottish Parliament

Giving evidence to the Parliament

Auditor General Caroline Gardner and Audit Scotland colleagues regularly report to the Parliament on our audit work on financial devolution, and how the Scottish Government is managing its budget. View our latest evidence sessions with the Public Audit and Post-legislative Scrutiny Committee on social security, and the Finance and Constitution Committee on VAT. You can also read our submission to the Finance and Constitution Committee on fiscal risks and the Scottish budget.

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Blogging about financial devolution in Scotland

We regularly blog extra insights from our wide-ranging work across Scotland’s public sector. Caroline Gardner, Auditor General for Scotland, writes about the Scottish Government's medium-term financial strategy and why consolidated public accounts for Scotland matter.

Other research briefings and tools

The Scottish Parliament Information Centre (SPICe) digital hub includes briefings on a range of areas, including the economy, public finances and social security.

The Financial Scrutiny Unit has also produced a number of research briefings and fact sheets on the Scottish Government budget.

The Scottish Fiscal Commission publishes its independent economic and fiscal forecasts in May and December each year.

Other research

Get in touch

To discuss Audit Scotland’s work on Scotland's new financial powers or let us know what you think about this page, please contact:

 

Mark Taylor

Mark Taylor, Audit Director mtaylor@audit-scotland.gov.uk

Rebecca Seidel

Rebecca Seidel, Audit Manager rseidel@audit-scotland.gov.uk

Kirstin Scott

Kirstin Scott, Auditor kscott@audit-scotland.gov.uk